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The RBA has released its May 2026 cash rate decision

The Reserve Bank of Australia has increased the cash rate by another 25 basis points, taking it to 4.35%, as it continues to prioritise challenging inflation.

Although this move had been largely expected, it extends the period of higher borrowing costs and reinforces the reality that interest rate relief may take longer to happen than many had hoped.

What’s behind the latest increase

The RBA’s decision reflects ongoing concern that inflation, while easing in some areas, is not yet firmly under control.

Price growth remains above the 2 to 3% target band, supported by a resilient labour market and persistent cost pressures across key sectors. External factors, including uncertainty in global energy markets, are also contributing to the risk that inflation could remain elevated.

Rather than waiting for conditions to worsen, the RBA has opted to act again to keep inflation expectations anchored.

What it means for homeowners

Homeowners who have an active variable home loan are going to feel the immediate impact.

This latest increase is expected to lift repayments by around $115 to $125 per month on loans in the $700,000 to $800,000 range. While incremental, these changes add up quickly, particularly for households already adjusting to higher day-to-day expenses.

Shane Petros, CEO of Australian Finance Hub, was confident that this rise occurring due to the state of inflation.

"The Reserve Bank of Australia has lifted the cash rate by 0.25%, marking the third increase this year as it continues its effort to bring inflation back within target. Persistently high inflation, strong employment, and resilient consumer demand have all contributed to the decision to keep tightening policy.

For mortgage holders, this adds further pressure to repayments, particularly for those on variable rates, and compounds the impact of earlier rises. Beyond the immediate increase, it’s a timely reminder for households to reassess their budgets, understand their financial buffers, and review whether their current loan structure still aligns with their needs in a higher-rate environment.”

What it means for buyers

Borrowing capacity remains one of the biggest challenges for buyers in the current environment.

Each rate rise further reduces how much can be borrowed, which can reshape purchasing decisions. Some buyers may reconsider their price range or preferred locations, while others may take a wait-and-see approach.

Even so, underlying demand has not disappeared. In many areas, limited supply continues to support competition, particularly for well-positioned properties.

What it means for sellers

For sellers, the landscape is becoming more complex.

Higher rates can dampen confidence at the margins, but they are not the only force at play. Tight housing supply is still providing a level of support to prices, especially in sought-after locations.

The result is a market where presentation, positioning, and pricing strategy matter more than ever in attracting committed buyers.

What it means for renters

The rental market continues to feel the indirect effects of higher interest rates.

As borrowing becomes more difficult, more people remain in the rental pool, sustaining demand. At the same time, increased costs for property owners can influence rental pricing where conditions allow.

In already constrained markets, this dynamic is likely to keep pressure on availability and affordability.

Looking ahead

The key question now is how much further the RBA is prepared to go.

While future decisions will depend on incoming data, the current stance suggests policymakers are willing to maintain pressure until inflation is clearly moving back within target.

For now, the message is one of persistence. Higher rates are still shaping financial decisions across the board, and adapting to that environment remains essential for anyone involved in the property market.

Jason Gwerder
Wednesday, 6 May 2026


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